Extremes Events
Mostrando 1-12 de 17 artigos, teses e dissertações.
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1. Análise da Relação entre a Precipitação Média do Reservatório Orós, Brasil - Ceará, e os índices PDO e AMO Através da Análise de Changepoints e Transformada de Ondeletas
Resumo Os riscos de extremos hidrológicos para um local ou região estão associados aos modos de variação do clima, em suas diversas escalas temporais. A compreensão da variabilidade de baixa frequência ganha uma elevada importância em regiões onde eventos de seca são frequentes, por estar associada a longos períodos de secas consecutivas. O presen
Rev. bras. meteorol.. Publicado em: 30/05/2019
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2. Using climate change models to assess the probability of weather extremes events: a local scale study based on the generalized extreme value distribution
ABSTRACT Regional climate models (e.g. Eta) nested to global climate models (e.g. HadGEM2-ES and MIROC5) have been used to assess potential impacts of climate change at regional scales. This study used the generalized extreme value distribution (GEV) to evaluate the ability of two nested models (Eta-HadGEM2-ES and Eta-MIROC5) to assess the probability of dai
Bragantia. Publicado em: 11/02/2019
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3. Modelagem estatística de extremos espaciais com base em processos max-stable aplicados a dados meteorológicos no estado do Paraná / Statistical modelling of spatial extremes based on max-stable processes applied to environmental data in the Parana State
The most mathematical models developed for rare events are based on probabilistic models for extremes. Although the tools for statistical modeling of univariate and multivariate extremes are well-developed, the extension of these tools to model spatial extremes data is currently a very active area of research. Modeling of maximum values under the spatial dom
IBICT - Instituto Brasileiro de Informação em Ciência e Tecnologia. Publicado em: 09/08/2012
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4. AvaliaÃÃo do Impacto das MudanÃas ClimÃticas na Oferta HÃdrica da Bacia HidrogrÃfica do ReservatÃrio Ãros usando os Modelos de MudanÃas ClimÃticas do IPCC-AR4, levando em ConsideraÃÃo as Diversas Incertezas Associadas / Evaluation of the Impact of Climate Change on Water Supply Watershed Reservoir Models using Ãros Climate Change IPCC-AR4, taking into consideration the Various Uncertainties Associated
In the present work flow projections for the basin Ãros (CearÃ) were obtained using the precipitation of global models of the fourth report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC-AR4) for the period 2010 to 2099 the A1B scenario. The flows were generated by the hydrologic model Soil Moisture Account Procedure (SMAP). To obtain these, the pr
IBICT - Instituto Brasileiro de Informação em Ciência e Tecnologia. Publicado em: 21/06/2012
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5. Integrating time series mining and fractals to discover patterns and extreme events in climate and remote sensing databases.
This thesis presents new methods based on fractal theory and data mining techniques to support agricultural monitoring in regional scale, specifically regions with sugar cane fields. This commodity greatly contributes to the Brazilian economy since it is a viable alternative to replace fossil fuels. Since climate influences the national agricultural producti
2010.. Publicado em: 2011
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6. Predictability study of the extremes events over southeast brazilian region using short-range ensemble prediction systems / Estudo da previsibilidade de eventos severos sobre o sudeste da América do Sul com ênfase na região da Serra do Mar usando previsão de curto prazo por ensemble
As características da previsibilidade de eventos severos são estudadas a partir de simulações com Sistemas de Previsão de Curto Prazo por Conjunto utilizando o modelo Eta com resolução horizontal de 10 km e 38 níveis na vertical. São testadas diferentes metodologias de incorporação das incertezas na previsão. Tanto os erros devido às incertezas
Publicado em: 2009
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7. Variabilidade atmosférica associada a casos extremos de precipitação na Região Sudeste do Brasil / Atmospheric variability associated to estreme precipitation events over southeast region of Brazil
The most severe climate impacts on the society occur due to climate variability and extreme precipitation events. Therefore, their study on various space and time scales are important to determine, in details, the related aspects and thus to provide information to analyze their representations in numerical forecast models. The goal of this work is to study v
Publicado em: 2008
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8. Dry spells occurrence in the northwest portion of Rio Grande do Sul state between the years 1978 and 2005 and its association to the climatic conditions in the atmosphere / Veranicos ocorridos na porção noroeste do estado do Rio Grande do Sul entre 1978 e 2005 e sua associação às condições climáticas na atmosfera
Agriculture plays an extremely important role in the economy of Rio Grande do Sul state. The target region of the present work in its northwest portion is represented by six cities: São Luiz Gonzaga, Santa Rosa, Cruz Alta, Iraí, Passo Fundo e Marcelino Ramos. It constitute a national focus of soya production and thus depend heavily on atmospheric condition
Publicado em: 2008
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9. Las sequías en la pampa húmeda: impacto en la productidad del maíz
This work seeks to identify droughts events in the space-time that occurred during the last century in Humid Pampas (Argentina). By means of the drought-index, statistical properties such as persistence, extremes and trends are analyzed. Since corn is drought sensitive, this study also attempts to show potential consequences of drought on the productivity of
Revista Brasileira de Meteorologia. Publicado em: 2007-08
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10. Influência do gelo marinho antártico no setor austral sudoeste do Atlântico Sul / The influence of antactic sea ice in the austral and southwest sector on the south atlantic
In this work the interaction between Antarctic sea-ice and the South Atlantic ocean (austral and southwestern sectors) is investigated. To accomplish this satellite-observed sea-ice concentration (SIC) and a coupled model from NCAR-CCSM3 (National Center for Atmospheric Research - Community Climate System Model version 3) were employed. Three 150-year simula
Publicado em: 2007
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11. Instrusion of the potential vorticity in the upper troposferic over south tropical atlantic and its relation with precipitation over NE of Brazil / Intrusão de vorticidade potencial na alta troposfera sobre o Atlântico tropical sul e sua relação com a precipitação no NE do Brasil
The Northeast Brazil (NEB) presents a great interannual variability of precipitation that can probably be explained by some atmospherics phenomenon of large scale. A system that can have some relationship with this variability is the intrusion event, characterised by Rossby wave breaking that provokes a connection between the tropical and extratropical regio
Publicado em: 2006
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12. Markets of risk and the theory of the extreme values: empirical study of cases / Mercados de risco e a teoria dos valores extremos: estudo empÃrico de casos
The objective of this work is to infer the behavior of extremes values of a continuous random variable, either extreme values in the down left tail of the probability density function (pdf), like the great daily losses in financial markets investments, or extreme values in the pdf upper right tail, like some great claim sizes in the insurance industry. The E
Publicado em: 2004